Breakfast Topic: Place your bets...

| Christmas 2007 | |
|---|---|
| January - Febuary 2008 | |
| March - May 2008 | |
| June - August 2008 | |
| September - November 2008 | |
| Christmas 2008 | |
| Even later |
Filed under: Breakfast Topics, Wrath of the Lich King

| Christmas 2007 | |
|---|---|
| January - Febuary 2008 | |
| March - May 2008 | |
| June - August 2008 | |
| September - November 2008 | |
| Christmas 2008 | |
| Even later |
Filed under: Breakfast Topics, Wrath of the Lich King
| Event | Date |
|---|---|
| Love Is In the Air | 2/2 - 2/15 |
| Blackrock Foundry Normal and Heroic open | 2/3 |
| Darkmoon Faire | 2/8 - 2/15 |
| Blackrock Foundry Mythic opens | 2/10 |
| Lunar Festival | 2/16 - 3/2 |
| Blackrock Foundry LFR wing 1 opens | 2/17 |
| Blackrock Foundry LFR wing 2 opens | 2/24 |
| Darkmoon Faire | 3/1 - 3/8 |
| Blackrock Foundry LFR wing 3 opens | 3/10 |
| Blackrock Foundry LFR wing 4 opens | 3/24 |
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 3)
sephirah Dec 7th 2007 8:39AM
At end of arena season 3, whenever it is.
Tryst Dec 7th 2007 8:38AM
Hmmm...my vote makes one vote for each choice. I think that officially means we have no idea.
Tryst
Green Armadillo Dec 7th 2007 8:55AM
At the time of this comment, the distribution is more of a bell curve, with 92% believing it will launch sometime between March and X-Mas 2008. (Why is X-Mas 2007 even a choice with neither a beta nor a release date? :P) Eyeballing it, it looks like the median response is Septemberish.
Safety Dancer Dec 7th 2007 9:13AM
Quote "Green Armadillo": Why is X-Mas 2007 even a choice with neither a beta nor a release date?
Wishful thinking? But your right, unless bliz turns into Super bliz, WotLK is gonna need a lot of testing. Just look at BC, it still has bugs and exploits. Patch after patch after patch it seems fix one thing....break another. Also they cannot even manage to get the realms up on time after maintenance let alone support another expansion. I can guarantee it doesn't come out before summer '08.
Xiphus Dec 7th 2007 8:44AM
Even later than that. Remember Blizzard's definition of 'soon'.
NCteacher Dec 7th 2007 8:56AM
I believe they are giving us yearly expansions, even bi yearly with the content patches which go live. Giving us new end game, new quests, you can not ask for much more. I mean hell if this was microsoft we would be paying for each of these patches. I do think that the exansion will not hit till after summer of 08 but Blizz could knock it out earlier, i just dont believe it will.
Nati Dec 7th 2007 9:01AM
I don't understand how people can possibly think it won't be released until the end of next year. We get 2.4 in January, or February at the latest. That's the end of BC content. There is no more after that. Waiting almost a year after that to release more content would have to be done to the sound of Blizzard nailing together WoW's coffin given how many other high-profile MMOs are coming out.
And WotLK is much further along in development than the CMs want us to believe - there hasn't been any new information released about WotLK in a very long time now, and it's not because there's no information to release, it's because Blizzard has put the information lid on. Check out the WotLK forums - Bornakk, who is the only CM to go there, replies with basically the same message to every single post. It's fairly obvious that he's been told not to give us anything new, and it's not a far fetched assumption that it is because they're saving up for something big.
But, on the flip side, it's not like it'll come out next month either. There will be a beta, and if BC is any indication it'll last quite a while. May or June 2008 seems likely for a release date to me.
Green Armadillo Dec 7th 2007 9:40AM
The last real content added to WoW pre-TBC was Naxx, which went live on June 20th. At the time, TBC was still aiming for a 2006 release (~5 months) and it ultimately didn't go live until January (7 months).
We still don't know when 2.4 is even going to PTR's (supposedly this year), other than that it can't be until after 2.3.2 goes live (and even later if they need a 2.3.3). Say 2.3.2 goes live on Tuesday and 2.4 hits the PTR the next week for a 2 month PTR cycle (not uncommon for patches that launch a new raid). That puts 2.4 on the live servers in mid February. Six months from that gets you to mid August, but summer is supposedly a bad time for marketing game releases, and thus the majority of people seem to be guessing Sept or later.
Also bear in mind, the TBC alpha started up in mid August and beta began sometime late September-ish (again, with a planned late Nov launch and an actual January launch). If Wrath follows a similar schedule, the clock is ticking down very rapidly against a June release.
Greg Dec 7th 2007 9:09AM
I think it is unlikely that they will release it in the summer given that it is typically a slow period of year for game sales. I think it is more likely to be spring 08 or autumn 08. I have been optimistic and selected March-May 08!
Midnight Dec 7th 2007 9:09AM
January 2009
susanne Dec 7th 2007 10:40AM
How long was BC in beta? I can't for the life of me remember... In any case I am betting on winter in summer... so possibly july-august sometime.
deviationer Dec 7th 2007 11:49AM
the closed beta started around 10-13-06, so it was in beta for around 3 months.
the friends and family alpha was around august 06
Candina@WH Dec 7th 2007 9:12AM
OK, I'm a cynical, mercenary kinda guy. Here is why you won't see it before sept -december 2008.
1.) They wanted to ship BC for christmas 2006, but it slipped and may have cost them revenue. The christmas buying season is to powerful of a draw.
2.) It will ship after being demoed, in final (more or less) form at BlizzConn.
3.) They now have a new 'distributer' to break in (Activision). this will take some coordination.
On the other hand. I would expect Starcraft II to come out early-mid summer, as it is in a closer to final form. Probably see it demoed in final form at E3 (July 2008). I would also expect the release candidate of WotLK to be demoed at E3.
sephirah Dec 7th 2007 9:19AM
I don't think TBC sold less cause it wasn't shipped at christmas. WoW has 9M players and how many of them don't have TBC?
Maybe Blizzard sold less, but in that case any kind of delay would be harmful.
Chris Anthony Dec 7th 2007 9:32AM
"They wanted to ship BC for christmas 2006, but it slipped and may have cost them revenue. The christmas buying season is to powerful of a draw."
You may be right. Modern business inexplicably seems to have a tight grip on the idea that what counts are immediate burst sales. It's sad that companies are willing to forfeit pre-holiday sales in order to catch the holiday-buying rush.
I can see reasons for timing the launch a certain way - to coincide with WOW's fourth (or, God forbid, fifth) birthday, to coincide with another WOW-related release, or to avoid releasing on the same day as a competitor - and while "catching burst sales" is on that list, it's near the bottom and it's not a very /good/ reason. (At the top of my list is "catching students going on vacation", which is why I'm thinking May or June.)
Jess Dec 7th 2007 9:17AM
I don't think having an expansion a year is a good thing, there is so much to do in WOW I wouldn't mind it coming out in 2009.
I have heard via the grapevine they are already offering closed beta with an NDA. I figure once they have a closed beta that doesn't have an NDA attached to it we can better guess when it's coming out. Probably they are shooting for summer of 2008 but knowing blizz it will be closer to fall or winter of 2008. I'm not really in any rush since my guild hasn't made it to SSC yet.
Hybrys Dec 7th 2007 9:39AM
The 'grapevine' has been proven wrong by many blue posts. They have said, over and over, that they will announce when the Beta will begin.
Any registry emails for a beta have been proven to be scams. AND, even if there was an NDA, do you really think it would hold? I mean, look at the EQ2 NDA. Lots of stuff was on the internet the minute the beta was out.
Erika Dec 7th 2007 9:19AM
I see in june because thats when school will be getting out. But post 7 is right. There will probably be no more bc content released.
Chris Anthony Dec 7th 2007 9:25AM
You must have posted after I opened the browser tab. :) I agree, May/June '08 seems most likely to me.
Chris Anthony Dec 7th 2007 9:24AM
It's worth noting that there's a significant difference between "an expansion every year" and "every expansion within 365 days of the last". Blizzard released BC in January 2007; they can release LK in December 2008 and still meet the "an expansion every year" goal.
As for when it'll be released - my guess is May or June of next year, to catch the exodus of students from school.