Some remarks on drop rates

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

4-29-2008 @ 6:18PM

drjonesac2 said...

Neat math! So if I open 30 supplies I have an approx 96% chance to get one?

4-29-2008 @ 6:28PM

no. your drop rate is still at 10%. Could it be 96%? of course, if you are lucky enough.
the easiest example to understand this (which is already in the post) is "flip a coin". Each time you flip it, you will always get 50% of chance for either the heads or the tail.

4-29-2008 @ 7:46PM

AlmtyBob said...

If you read his question as "If I open 30 SSO Supplies do I have a roughly 96% chance of getting one or more badges from that batch?" then he is correct.

To use your analogy, on the 4th flip of a coin, you're 50/50 to get heads. However, in 4 flips of a coin you've got a ~94% chance that one of the slips will have been heads.

Thanks for the condescending reply though!

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