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4-29-2008 @ 7:24PM
this is basic statistics. But statistically speaking, if you open enough bags, the overall drop rate will be close to 10% with a smaller and smaller error margin. Of course the sample size will be in the 100,000 ranges in order to even see it gets close to 10%.
4-30-2008 @ 4:03PM
you could, assuming the drop rate is purely random, get an accurate approximation of the drop rate with a sample size of a few hundred (probably less). It is a common misconception that large sample sizes are necessary to obtain accurate results.
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