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8-04-2009 @ 4:14AM
Totally agree with you Trent. What Tastix has inadvertently ignored is the effect of reputation. When a person on the street tells you something, and you don't know this person, and have never dealt with them, you have no reason to believe or disbelieve them. You ignore them and wait to see what happens.If however, that same person talks to you every day for a year, giving you information that would otherwise not be released, and that information is 99% accurate, then you can expect that the next time, you've got a 99% chance for accuracy. You can expect that person is telling you the truth.Yes, this may be that 1%. But it's 99% more likely to be accurate than inaccurate.
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