Blood Pact: Conjuring DPS rotations for patch 4.0.1, part 1

Greetings, conjurers of fire and dark.
With the expansion eyeing a Dec. 7 release date and a major content patch less than a few weeks away, the Blood Pact mailroom has filled to the brim with the stench of uncertainty. Many prodding letters continue to suffocate the space with their incessancy, searching for some much-needed warlock satisfaction and firing off question after question about what to expect of our class in the weeks to come. Those searing questions, and the interesting succubus-themed cosplay images that some of you have sent, are quite the interesting read, let me tell you.
Of all the questions that I've received, however, there is one theme that is a constant amidst all of the babble. No, it's not regarding the rumors of a certain warlock's untimely demise (which have been highly exaggerated, let me assure you). Nor is it about the threesome between the Cobra Commander, Batman and a very unlucky druid, which apparently inspired the wretched warlock T11 design that has had me scratching my head these past few weeks. But what I am talking about is warlock DPS -- or more specifically, what our DPS rotations will look like in the upcoming patch and expansion.
Today, we're going all scabies and starting from scratch. We'll be working with the raw goodness from the Public Test Realm (PTR), grabbing, pulling and yanking data out from our spell books to find a key ingredient to our DPS equation: the overall worth of our abilities. Once that information is gathered, we can calculate the average damage per cast time (aDPCT) of our spells and put together a priority-based rotation, not only helping our understanding and appreciation of the design process, but also (and perhaps most importantly) maximizing our DPS output in patch 4.0.1 and Cataclysm. We wouldn't want to fall behind those simpleton, button-mashing mages and hunters, would we?
The variables
Spellpower coefficient The best place to start when designing a DPS spell rotation is with the spells themselves. And while there are many qualities that define just how much damage a specific spell can do (like critical strike and haste percentages, for example), none is more important than what is known as the spellpower coefficient. The spellpower coefficient is a number that dictates the combination of a spell's base damage with a specific amount of the bonus spellpower you carry with you on your gear. In other words, the coefficient decides how much of your increasing spellpower gets applied to any given spell's overall damage production. For example, Shadowburn has a spellpower coefficient of 0.50 or 50 percent. What this actually means is that 50 percent or half of a warlock's bonus spellpower will be added to his Shadowburn's base damage. For a warlock with 3,000 bonus spellpower, that's 1,500 in damage added to Shadowburn's base damage value.
The spellpower coefficient is really not that difficult a value or concept to understand, and it's easy to calculate, too. But finding the correct values to use in its calculation can prove to be quite the task. Thankfully, there is a fairly easy way of ensuring accurate values, and like most great things, it involves getting naked.
To find the spellpower coefficient of any ability in the PTR or beta, simply do the following:
In your interface options menu under the Help section, make sure that Beginner Tooltips is unchecked. This will display actual damage values in your tooltips rather than generalized and simplistic descriptions of what each spell does. Also, make certain that your character has not selected a specialization -- doing so will alter the values in those tooltips, adding tree and mastery bonuses to them and complicating your calculations. In fact, you should have no specialization or talents selected or buffs of any kind. If you do, right-click them away to nothingness before moving on to the next step.

Once your character is in the buff, open up your spellbook and find an ability for which you want to calculate the spellpower coefficient. Check the tooltip of that ability and note the damage value (which has been simplified greatly -- no more finding averages!). Now, put all of your gear back on and check the tooltip again, also noting the increased damage value. To find the coefficient, simply subtract the "no gear" damage value from the "full gear" damage value and divide the difference by your gear's total bonus spellpower:
Spellpower Coefficient = ("Full Gear" Damage - "No Gear" Damage) / Bonus Spellpower
An important note: Your bonus spellpower is not the amount of spellpower your Character Info window says you have when fully geared. It is actually that amount, minus the spellpower value of your character when all of your gear has been removed -- again, you have to get naked to help display the correct values.

aDPCT The next step in creating a spell rotation is to calculate the average amount of damage each spell in your arsenal can produce. Calculating the average damage per cast time (aDPCT) does just that and quantifies each spell with a value that gives the ability a specific place in a priority rotation. The greater the aDPCT value, the higher up in the rotation's priority a spell will be. For example, if Spell A has an aDPCT of 10,000 and Spell B has an aDPCT of 12,000, Spell B will be case before Spell A, since it has a higher aDPCT.
The aDPCT value, when calculated properly and thoroughly, is the most important step in conjuring a DPS rotation. But do not underestimate the amount of information you'll need for every one of your spells -- you not only must consider a spell's coefficient and base damage, but also its specific critical strike percentage, haste rating, mastery and tree bonus, glyphs, talents, spell procs, etc. Needless to say, the process is very detail-oriented, and the more accurate you are with the details, the more precise you'll be with your calculations.
Once you have as much relevant information as possible gathered on a particular spell, plug those values and information from your specific character (bonus spellpower, critical strike and haste percentages, mastery bonus, etc.) into the following equation to calculate the aDPCT (make certain that all of your percentages are in decimal form):
aDPCT = (base dmg + (bonus spell dmg*Coeff))*(1 + Crit)*(1 + mastery)*(1 + tree bonus) / (base cast time / (1 + haste))
If it seems a little overwhelming, don't worry. I've done all of the calculations for you and posted them below, along with the coefficient values (of most spells, except channeled and AoE spells). It would be helpful to familiarize yourself with this process, however, so if you're in the PTR or beta, I'd suggest grabbing some info and experimenting with the aDPCT equation and comparing them to the values below. And hey, if you find a mistake, I will personally get naked in your honor -- all for science and theorycrafting, of course.
Also, as a side note, it is important to mention that the aDPCT values below are based on a level 80 warlock, meaning that stat values are much higher than they will likely be once we reach level 85.
The values
Coefficient estimates for full duration
- Bane of Agony 120%
- Bane of Doom 400%
- Corruption 120%
- Immolate 24.85% for direct damage component, 100% for damage over time component
- Incinerate 71.42% or 89.28% when Immolate is on the target (increased by 25%)
- Searing Pain 71.20%
- Shadow Bolt 85.71%
- Soul Fire 71.42%
- Chaos Bolt 71.42%
- Conflagrate 100% of Immolate
- Shadowburn 50%
- Fel Flame 34.31%
aDPCT values
Based on a level 80 destruction warlock (2/3/31) -- 4.0.1 PTR
Bonus SP 3,194
Haste rating 26.11%
Critical strike rating 33.55%
Mastery rating 8.00 (10% increase to fire damage)
Bane of Agony
- 7,836.29
- 8,586.62 w/ Doom and Gloom (Increase critical chance by 8%)
- 10,733.28 w/ Doom and Gloom, 3 extra ticks from haste (1 tick added to each group)
Bane of Doom
- 29,951.73
- 32,819.64 w/ Doom and Gloom (Increase critical chance by 8%)
Corruption
- 6,908.64
- 7,737.67 w/ Improved Corruption
- 10,316.90 w/ Improved Corruption (.12 increase), 2 extra ticks from haste
Immolate
- 2,126.96 + 7,723.96 = 9,850.92
- 3,509.48 w/mastery, tree, talent + 14018.99 w/mastery, tree, talent (.20), glyph (.10 increase)
- 17,528.48 w/mastery, tree bonus, glyph, talents
- 20,332.27 w/mastery, tree bonus, glyph, talents, 1 extra tick from haste
Incinerate
- 2,728.39 (assumes Emberstorm)
- 3,410.04 w/ Immolate on target
- 5,844.88 w/ Immolate on target, mastery (.25), tree bonus (.10), glyph (.05), talent (.12, .06 increases)
- 8,349.63 w/ all buffs and backdraft proc
Searing Pain
- 4,464.66
- 6,138.91 w/mastery, tree
- 9,077.95 w/mastery, tree bonus, Improved Searing Pain (^crit 40% when target below 50%)
Shadow Bolt
- 2,929.63 (assumes Bane)
- 3,281.19 w/talents (.12 increase)
- 4,687.41 talent and Backdraft proc
Soul Fire
- 3,428.68
- 4,714.44 w/mastery, tree bonus
- 9,428.88 w/mastery, tree bonus, instant cast
Chaos Bolt
- 4,114.49 (assumes Bane)
- 5,996.88 w/mastery, tree bonus, talent (.06 increase)
- 8,567.29 w/mastery, tree bonus, talent Backdraft proc
Conflagrate
- 14,018.99 w/mastery, tree bonus, talent, glyph (for Immolate)
Shadowburn
- 3,333.75
Fel Flame
- 1,954.17
- 2,686.98 w/mastery, tree bonus
Next week, we'll take a close look at the application of these values, designing rotations for each of our incoming talent trees and their respective specializations. In the meantime, experiment with the numbers above, and see what you can come up with. Enjoy.
Filed under: Warlock, Raiding, (Warlock) Blood Pact, Cataclysm






Reader Comments (Page 1 of 4)
hugybear Oct 4th 2010 5:10PM
um, we're gonna talk about rotations... without mentioning a rotation at all... u tease
Jamie Oct 4th 2010 5:36PM
Warlocks... they tempt you in with dps rotations & cookies and then tease you when you find out those cookies are felfire & raisins.
Raisins in a cookie is a typical warlock thing to do.
Lofrof Oct 5th 2010 3:31AM
Herp derp, this is just part one silly + we'll need the numbers before we can make a priority system...Arnold says http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WL1lfSzgcAw
Brett Porter Oct 4th 2010 6:11PM
In all fairness, he did say conjuring... which as you can see by the above math it requires to be conjured, the cast time for this particular conjuration is about 7 days long...
jbodar Oct 4th 2010 7:06PM
Yes... raisins... certainly not imp droppings, noooo. Hey, I think my Dark Master is calling. Gotta go...
Celess Oct 5th 2010 7:26AM
@Brett Prior to this article, the previous Blood Pact was on 10th September. That's not a 7 day cast time, that's 25 days.
I'm loving your writing Eli, but the time between articles has been unpredictable and silly at best; any word if we should be more regular from here on out? Not having a go at all, I just relish these columns (I do love your writing) and find the cooldown on them unabidingly harsh.
Blood Pact needs a buff :P
Natsumi Oct 5th 2010 10:09AM
@Celess
Perhaps the Article needs more fiber in it's diet. :D
MikeLive Oct 4th 2010 5:31PM
Work in progress article?
Terethall Oct 4th 2010 5:37PM
"Next week, we'll take..."
Lol. More like next year, amirite? Seriously, hope you enjoyed October's Blood Pact, can't wait for November's.
Jagoex Oct 4th 2010 5:39PM
It's a series, with raw data presented now and application/analysis coming later -- it says "part 1" for a reason. ;)
Brett Porter Oct 4th 2010 6:22PM
Wow... I don't think some folks realize just how much work got put into this particular post.
To everyone else out there - there may not be a post that is relevant or interesting to you at all times, but it surely is to someone.
To be honest, I'm not into theorycrafting or figuring out coefficients; I leave that to the pros! However, I found it *very* interesting about how much work and time and effort (and blood, sweat, tears) goes into finding all these numbers. Bravo to you!
Daedalus Oct 5th 2010 8:15AM
Not trying to be rude here, but this article feels really phoned in. It seems like the kind of filler you'd use on a week when there wasn't a lot of news to report on, but one week out from some of the most fundamental changes to our class since WoW started, it feels out of place. The premise for the article is strong; our rotations after the patch being probably at the forefront of most Warlock's concerns right now, but wouldn't it have been better to just link to the many, many places that explain how these numbers are arrived at, and dedicate the column exclusively to how that applies to us?
How do the new specs play in PvP? What's it like for Warlocks in the heroics on Beta? How does the whole guardian thing affect our rotations? What profession changes look good (or bad) for us? There's a ton of Warlock-specific things that you could be talking about here.
To be honest, this article doesn't really belong in the Blood Pact column; it's applicable to any DPS casting class. It might be useful information, but I really hate to see the one Warlock-specific article we get a week dedicated to such a generic topic.
emberdione Oct 4th 2010 5:49PM
One would wonder why it specifies DPS rotations... As opposed to what? Did I miss warlocks getting to heal?
Not to mention, it should be Destruction rotations, not DPS rotations.
Where's the Affliction mention?
Boobah Oct 4th 2010 8:40PM
You mean just because it mentions Shadowburn and Chaos Bolt, yet leaves off Haunt, Unstable Affliction, and Hand of Gul'dan, in addition to specialized spells like including Searing Pain while leaving off Life Drain and Drain Soul?
Shadowburn and Chaos Bolt are problematic, not least because since they're talented spells you can't use the method outlined in the article to come up with the spellpower coefficients.
Boobah Oct 4th 2010 8:49PM
sigh
That reads as me jumping on a hate-train, which really isn't the intent. Searing Pain might be included as an example of a spell to never touch in PvE, and here's why. Life Drain and Drain Soul on the other hand are looking to be in at least Aff lock rotations, and it'll help to know why Destro locks don't take advantage of Drain Soul's execute mechanic (Demonology can get an alternate execute... but without the Drain Soul numbers, how to know if it's actually worth the talent cost?)
Bram Samuelson Oct 4th 2010 5:59PM
you're doing it wrong.
bring back Hobbs.
Aaron Oct 5th 2010 8:29AM
Where did he go? He didn't even say good-bye. /sadface
andy1_mack Oct 4th 2010 6:04PM
Any possibility of a link to the Talent Build mentioned so that we can can play about with builds Please?
Jagoex Oct 4th 2010 6:20PM
http://cata.wowhead.com/talent#IbZcZIrrcRbsodo
That's the specific one I used as the example in the post.
Abbadon Oct 4th 2010 6:11PM
Shouldn't we be concerned about our actual specs before rotations?!
As an afflock, I'm feeling pretty jilted as far as the talent transition goes. When the patch hits in the next week or so, we're 2 points shy of what we're currently accustomed to...
So, where should I cut myself short?
I'm leaning towards:
1/2 Nightfall (as that point was required to fill out the tree)
3/3 Bane (quicker SBs like we have now)
2/3 Shadow and Flame (increased SB dmg and 66% chance of applying the improved crit buff)
This won't matter much after the expansion as we'll be leveling and not raiding, but for the month and a half after the patch and before Cata, for those of us still raiding, I'd say we're screwed.