Gold Capped: Monopolizing the market

I got an email that got me thinking about monopolies.
I play on a medium to small pop server that is decidedly near the bottom of progression, and there is one individual on our server who has a monopoly on epics. He seems to play all day, regularly buying up underpriced epics from clueless people in trade, as well as the reasonable and even overpriced epics from the AH. He then jacks the prices up 10-15K. Based on what I can tell from
popular WoW economy websites, our server's epic prices are consistently 10-20K gold more than the average.
Kudos to this guy, but it's annoying me in some way I can't quite put my finger on. It doesn't effect me personally: I don't buy much BoE gear and I'm fine with my AH income. It's the idea of the monopoly that bothers me. I feel like it's hurting the server in some way.
My question is: there must be a few economic theory type solutions to busting a monopoly of this nature, but what are they?
What this guy is doing is usually called flipping, or sometimes, brokerage. Buy low, sell high is the easiest to understand business in any market, simply because it seems so obvious. If you have the money to fund a flip, all you have to do is manage to find someone willing to pay more than you did, and you've gotten "money from nothing." Or have you?
Nothing is really free
If there really were a way to get money for nothing, more people would be gold capped. In this case, while the broker who is buying all these epics didn't have to level professions or farm materials, he still has a few serious costs. First, he has to tie up his money in these epics while he waits for them to sell. This is money that he can't spend on himself and doesn't have in his bags while it's being used for flipping.
This also introduces him to the second cost: risk. While he may be making a profit normally, the fact is that every time he buys something, he's betting he can find another buyer who will pay more for it. If he's ever wrong, not only does he have to live without his money while it's tied up in stock, he also loses the difference between what he charged and what he paid. Risk and the amount of money needed to get started are the reason that you don't see everyone flipping epics.
Risk
I know first hand how easy it is to get burned when you decide to try out flipping. My very first exposure to the AH was making a successful flip and getting so excited by that win that I reinvested all my profits into a bunch of other promising-looking flips. My very second exposure to the AH was discovering, the hard way, that there is an element of chance involved as I lost everything I had made on my first deal and then some.
If I had researched a little better, I'd probably not have lost my money. I was level 12, and I consider the money lost well worth the experience, to this day. I've had some spectacular wins since then, but I will always remember the value of information and knowing what you're dealing in.
Buy low
Buying low is the art of finding something that's undervalued. It can, however, be very hard to tell the difference between something that's undervalued and something that's low value. One BoE might be worth 30,000+ gold, where another at the same ilvl could be worth as little as 5,000, and the only difference would be that there's a reputation epic that does the same job as the cheap one. There are some markets where the volume is so low that the market value for an item is all over the place, with a huge deviation from the average. Epic BoE gear is one of these markets, and this means that there will always be people willing to sell for the low end of the range.
Whether a broker finds an an item on the AH or in trade, he has to be online when the seller is looking around, or else his competition will get the deal. Part of the equation for brokerage will always be market presence: If you're willing to be online more than your competition, you'll secure more cheap stock than they will. The more your competition is logged in, the more stock they'll get, and the more you'll pay for your stock.
This is not the only part of the game (or the economy minigame) that rewards camping. I've long stated that Blizzard should allow players to buy the same way they sell, by posting their offers and logging off for 2 days. This way, people who camp trade and the AH all day would have no serious advantage over people who play more reasonable hours.
Sell high?
The second half of brokerage, selling high, is taking a commodity (the more rare, the better; the more highly in demand, the better) and trying to increase market value for it by releasing them more slowly than they're being produced. This technique is probably what most people object to, as it directly increases the average player's costs when trying to gear up. Most people don't object nearly as strongly to a broker's buying something at under market value, for some reason.
Selling high by constricting supply only works when the base material for the goods can't be farmed and when there is considerable demand.
Here's the thing: This isn't a monopoly. A monopoly is established on the buy side, not the sell side. If someone else can produce or buy whatever it is you're selling, he can and will compete with you by undercutting. That, in fact, is the hard reality of this type of business: Unless you have the means to control the supplies of your competition, you can't raise the prices by holding back stock. Your competition would step in and simply sell theirs instead.
Break down a camper
Firstly, since you're not directly being affected by this broker, my advice for making gold is to continue ignoring him. Don't let it get personal, and let the market sort him out. Focus your attention on some market that doesn't have a high presence camper, and enjoy your gold.
If, however, you decide that you want to take his market, you have to be prepared to do all the work he does for half the sales or less. Otherwise, you're not going to force him anywhere. Mind you, lowering the final price on epics will get them selling faster, which may pay out for both of you in the end.
In this case, the way he's making such a high markup is by being there all the time to buy. You need to spend your time in this market making your willingness to buy BoE epics known in trade and outbidding him whenever you can to force his prices up. When you win, you need to resell at low margins. Aside from that, consider directly contacting raiding guilds and offering them decent money for any BoEs they don't need.
Filed under: Economy, Gold Capped






Reader Comments (Page 1 of 3)
demondawg27 Mar 10th 2011 8:14PM
Is this on velen? And are u talking about shadyj?
Basil Berntsen Mar 10th 2011 8:59PM
Nope- but this story is surely not unique.
Jennifer Mar 10th 2011 10:44PM
Strange, that was exactly my first thought - Shadyj is definitely a character.
Againfaster Mar 10th 2011 8:19PM
Unfortunately this does affect him. He states that he's on a med->low pop server with poor progression. I've rolled on servers, hit the AH at 10, looked at the prices, laughed, and parked that 'toon face down in a puddle of water - never to come back again. People looking to roll on a new server want to see a healthy economy. Some variation on pricing is no big deal, but for 15K I'll take a look at a different server. If people aren't re-rolling on this server, it will stay a low pop server and raid progression will stall.
Stardusted Mar 10th 2011 8:20PM
I always considered flipping to be to risky and time-consuming for my tastes. I will occasionally do it, but only for items that are way undervalued, and in small quantities.
I did, however, make way more gold than i was entitled to in Wrath by buying up tons of garbage on the AH posted below vendor value and directly vending said items, but even that got too time-consuming for the value after a point.
I agree with Basil on this one, since he isn't directly affecting you, stay in a different market. If this guy plays the flipping game for too long or holds on to too many epics he'll be S.O.L. when the next tier hits anyway and people can buy the same level gear with justice points.
Rob Mar 10th 2011 8:24PM
Breaking these guys is fairly simple. Simply offer more of the product for a fair price. You can produce unlimited goods, whereas the market can only absorb so much.
Lets say you can produce an epic a day, or maybe a week. Post it for a decent amount. He'll flip it and boom, you just made some profit. Who cares if it goes for 10k more. Maybe. Maybe not. Historically it's tough to get rid of epics, and the prices now are ridiculous. You could easily a) not sell at all or b) take weeks to sell. With this guy, you can hopefully sell your item quickly and move on with your life.
Its tougher for epics since it is hard to flood the market. It would be far easier for something like a glyph or potion.
Basil Berntsen Mar 10th 2011 9:01PM
"You can produce unlimited goods, whereas the market can only absorb so much."
Actually that's only true for crafted epics, and I got the sense that this was about drops- the only way to "produce" a BoE epic drop is to buy it from someone who lucked out.
Rob Mar 11th 2011 5:51PM
Right, epics in general are unlike other markets in which they really can't be mass produced right now. That may change for a bit, but the same issues apply. The flipper is faced with a declining market, one that increases its saturation every day. At some point there will be few people left who are interesting in epics, and the demand will decrease. Would prices fall? Maybe, maybe not. It's emotional. At this point the flipper has to make decisions or lose their investments, which is why epic trading is quite tricky. Its very easy to sit on 100k in inventory with just a few items, which may or may not sell.
My advice is to don't put all your eggs into the 'epic' basket, spread out your AH strategies, and really research the market to get a feel for what the current bid and ask prices are.
omedon666 Mar 10th 2011 8:32PM
We have someone on our server who is notorious for doing this with leveling greens, buying up everything and selling it at "hope you're an alt" prices. It comes and goes, but it's always the same guy. My advice to leveling guildies is to put greens on the AH at a slightly overvalued price. You won't get gear from the AH, but you'll get the flipper's money.
siriuslives Mar 10th 2011 8:35PM
Sounds a lot like Galakrond to me!
Noyou Mar 10th 2011 9:54PM
Hey I'm on that server! Yes it's a medium to lower pop server and it gets a ton of bad rep in trade for it's progression. IMO a server is a lot like a school. You get out of it what you put in. If you want to pug- good luck. It's not the best server to pug. The economy is what it is. It's messed up and I never understood how frequently people sell things for much lower than the mats to make them. That being said there are good markets for ores and vanilla/BC mats. When selling items whether it be crafted, epics or quest greens I have found that there are 2 niches: End game and PvP. Right now the rage seems to be lvl 77-80 cata greens. People like buying those and going into their pvp bracket and facerolling.
nikdaheratik Mar 11th 2011 2:20PM
I've never understood this type of market. Doing the quests, which are much easier than the Wrath quests in Icecrown were, will yield better gear than any of the greens you could buy. And people use the crafted PvP blues to level their skill so they aren't overpriced on most servers. Greens shouldn't be worth more than the cost of the dust or essences, but people buy them anyways.
aerrae Mar 14th 2011 12:34PM
I used to play on Galakrond, I still hop on from time to time, but the economy is a small part of the reason I left. (the bigger part was because of friends on other servers), The economy there are the end of wrath wasnt too bad, I would not say that it was great, or even good for that matter.
There is some progression minded people out there, that is for sure, it just takes longer on low pop realms. On Galakrond I have friends in top end (as top end as it gets anyway) guilds that are progressing quite well. In time things should improve the way they did in wrath... The economy being on of them...
xiani Mar 10th 2011 8:46PM
"...I've long stated that Blizzard should allow players to buy the same way they sell; by posting their offers and logging off..."
I'm not quite sure where this falls between guild housing and a separate 'appearance' gear set, but these are good contenders for the top 3 things that everyone would love to have, and have wanted for ages, yet Blizz see not to be introducing any time soon because...
Well, I have no idea really - it does make sense on a purely practical level, but you have to admit that this particular idea would play merry havoc with most people's AH strategies, and would probably hurt most of us gold-hungry profiteers in the long run due to not being able to take advantage of impatient people so easily.
Vort Mar 11th 2011 8:57AM
"...I've long stated that Blizzard should allow players to buy the same way they sell; by posting their offers and logging off..."
This just seems like the current bidding function to me. I'll bid X, and have to wait Y time to see if my bid was the winning one. Seems like it would be subject to the exact same behaviour as the current bidding model i.e. if I am the seller and after 24 hours or whatever the offers are not what I had in mind, I'll cancel the auction and relist, until the offer matches what I wanted in the first place i.e. my buyout price.
I may have misunderstood what you had in mind, but that's how I read it.
Me Mar 10th 2011 8:48PM
Buy Orders would help a heck of a lot I think . . . not sure about with the epics.
But if you could put up a standing Order "will buy X for Y", there would be less need for Trade chat shinnanegans.
Right now it's entirely a seller's market . . . you can't even sort by buyout price.
Mummrah Mar 10th 2011 9:07PM
But, what you call 'trade chat shenanigans' is exactly what trade chat was created for, not the BS 'anal[Thunderfury, Blessed Blad of the Windseeker]' shenanigans and trolling that currently take up 3/4 of trade chat on most realms.
Astoreth Mar 10th 2011 9:25PM
You can sort by buyout price using addons such as Auctioneer.
Kinda terrible that you need an addon to do that at all, but at least it's there!
Sahara Mar 10th 2011 10:07PM
I found the AuctionLite is an excellent light-weight addon that allows you to sort by buyout price, as well as search for uncut gems without having to sort through all the cut gems too (the entire reason I started using it!)
Basil Berntsen Mar 11th 2011 7:52AM
I see your various lesser addons and raise you all one auctionator. Game, set, match. /thread? Checkmate? What game is this?!