Blood Pact: Patch 4.1 analysis for warlocks

While the patch may have been out for almost a week now, I get the fortunate/unfortunate position of writing on Mondays. It's awesome, really; I love Mondays, and I love having Blood Pact on Mondays. It's like a bright ray of sunshine on an otherwise dreary day -- assuming your sunshine is also dark, bloody, demonic, and encourages slavery. Sadly, Blizzard doesn't seem to like Mondays; in fact, I'm quite sure that it has started a campaign to have Monday officially removed, but everyone else just calls me crazy.
The patch may have been out for a while, but that doesn't mean it still isn't worth mentioning, yeah? After all, there were quite a few major changes for warlocks, and most importantly, those around us. Day late, dollar short, all that jazz -- nothing can stop a rampaging demonic lord, and that's kind of what we are.
The rise of affliction
It has been a long time in coming. If I haven't been talking about it (and I do, frequently), then there were at least 50 different comments made about affliction being "the" warlock spec in 4.1. It's all true. Every story that you've heard so far is true. Affliction does currently sim as the highest DPS. Now, I really, really want for people to focus on the key word of that sentence: It sims as the highest DPS.
When people go to the forums and claim that a certain spec does the highest possible DPS, there are several factors that you have to look at. First, and most important, are the parameters that are being set for the comparison. Simulators have become more and more refined as time has gone on, but that doesn't always mean that the users are as apt at getting the proper results.
The most basic coding of simulators is for a Patchwerk-style encounter, one with little to no movement and no boss mechanics to hinder DPS in any way -- just a pure sit-and-nuke-styled fight. Aside from Patchwerk, this type of encounter doesn't actually exist in the game. Even the most Patchwerk-style fight in this raiding tier isn't perfect, containing movement and inhibiting debuffs.
Every spec handles movement differently; every spec handles certain types of encounters differently. Encounter parameters matter; if nothing else, they are the single most important influence on the outcome of simulated results.
There are other considerations: encounter type, latency factors, buffs/debuffs, "skill" level, and more. All of this can usually have a larger impact on DPS than spec, assuming the specs are remotely balanced. Luckily for warlocks, our three specs are balanced.
Affliction may sim higher than destruction, and if you switch to affliction, you may see a minor increase in DPS, but the honest truth is that it doesn't really have that much of an impact. Your performance at this point will honestly be better using the spec that you are more apt at, the one that you prefer, than you would to just jump up onto the affliction bandwagon, as it were.
Playing the spec that you enjoy is far more important than playing the simulated best spec. While affliction is the highest DPS spec, it doesn't have such a large gap that it makes all of the other specs obsolete. This isn't the same situation that you see with, say, marks and beast mastery, where one is simply just not up to par. Destruction is still a perfectly viable spec to play, you won't be holding your raid back at all in using it. Demonology is just the same.
I love affliction. I gladly play the spec and am thrilled that it has the highest potential, but I would still never say that every warlock has to play affliction or they are doing a disservice to their raid. Our other specs are fine, and if they are your preferred choice, then stick with them.
The downfall of Dark Intent
Oh poor, poor shadow priests. I know that warlocks really have nothing against their priestly copy-cats, but, sadly, the druid in me just cannot help taking a few sharp jabs at them. Dark Intent has been something of a fodder statement for quite some time now. People loved to throw out Dark Intent for a wide variety of ills that they perceived in the game. Certain specs are overperforming; it's all because of Dark Intent. Shadow priests are so obviously balanced around Dark Intent; they're simply worthless without it. Fire and balance are only great at AoE because of Dark Intent. And the list goes on.
A nerf to Dark Intent was pretty much expected. I could disagree and argue the points of balance, but it would be a fruitless effort. When there are situations such as this where players complain, I've pretty much always seen Blizzard make the adjustments. Was it wrong? It's all a matter of perspective.
Before going into the philosophical nature of Dark Intent, let me say what the nerf actually did. In terms of Dark Intent targets, it did virtually nothing. The specs that were/are prioritized for Dark Intent are prioritized so because they gained the highest return from both the haste and the DoT bonus. Shadow priests and balance druids gain the most DPS from the haste portion of Dark Intent, after which comes any spec of rogue, then elemental shaman. The worst on the haste list is pretty much any non-rogue melee and any non-marks hunter.
By reducing the DoT bonus for the target of Dark Intent, the actual priority of the spell doesn't particularly change all that much. Shadow priests and balance druids should have been your top two targets anyway; they gain the most from haste and the DoT effect, and this still remains true. The differences come in after that for fire mages, feral druids, and survival hunters. All three of these specs were good Dark Intent targets, and they still are, but they lost more potential than the other two. This is because they had a complete reliance on the DoT increase. Neither of those specs got much from the haste, but they did gain a significant amount from the secondary proc. With that being cut in half, their standing has slipped.
The overall priority doesn't actually change, however, because all other options are still worse in every scaling point. What this change did do was solidify shadow and balance as being the best options. While both saw a high return from the DoT effect as well, they also saw the highest return from haste. With the haste now accounting for more of the damage contributed by Dark Intent, it takes more precedent.
Should Dark intent been nerfed?
This is a question that has often been asked by shadow priests as of late; warlocks, we really don't care about it either way. Still, I think it is good to talk about the philosophy behind the ability in this situation.
There are numerous claims that shadow priests (and actually any DPS spec that receives Dark Intent) are balanced around having that particular buff. This is both true and untrue. Given that it cannot be assured that any of these specs will have the buff at any given time, it wouldn't be fair to assume that they always have it; thus, you cannot balance their DPS around it. On the other hand, if you completely remove Dark Intent as a balancing factor from the specs that benefit the most from it, then you create situations in which their DPS becomes too high when they do have it.
It isn't a matter of personal DPS; when speaking in terms of Dark Intent, this is something that people fail to realize. The damage contribution of Dark Intent cannot be used to balance personal DPS, but it must be used in order to balance raid DPS.
Boss encounters themselves are balanced around an expected DPS level from every player. Spec is an irrelevant factor; what matters is the total DPS output of the raid. This forces Blizzard into an excessively tricky position.
Say you want to have every spec deal approximately equal levels of DPS, and you want everyone in a raid to deal a certain level of DPS. For example, you are doing a 10-man boss that uses 5 DPSers, where the expected total DPS output is 100,000. The easiest solution then is to have every raid member be capable of 20,000 DPS, which would leave the raid on target with everyone having an equal contribution.
Now you have a warlock and he needs to choose a Dark Intent target. All DPS is balanced around having all possible buffs, but only one person can benefit from Dark Intent. The obvious choice is to give it to the player who gains the most from it. If a shadow priest would gain 5,000 DPS from Dark Intent and a fire mage would gain 3,000 DPS from Dark Intent, you would clearly give it to the shadow priest.
This, however, creates an issue. With everyone doing equal 20,000 DPS, the shadow priest is now outperforming everyone with 25,000 DPS. To the players, this creates conflict because the priest seems "better"; from the development standpoint, you have an issue because a single buff alone has given the raid a flex point of 5,000 DPS in order to reach the required raid DPS values.
The former isn't an issue; a player's position on the meters due to a singular buff isn't a factor that you can actually consider while developing a game. This is because it is impossible to create a middle ground; the spec will always either be too high with it or too low without it. The only factor that matters is the total output of the raid.
In this situation, you cannot lower the shadow priest's damage, because it would unbalance them should they not have a warlock. Nor can you increase everyone's DPS, because not only would it create the same issue, it would further push the total raid's DPS beyond the expected point. The only option, then, is to nerf Dark Intent.
Players can claim their spec is balanced around the assumption of Dark Intent, but it simply isn't true. Blizzard rarely balances around personal performance in such a manner. The game is balanced around two factors, which players just don't often take into consideration; instead, they only see the factor of their personal output. Instead, Blizzard takes an entire raid's DPS potential into account and then configures personal DPS onto benchmarks that it's selected.
In short, you cannot balance specs around having Dark Intent, but you cannot ignore the balancing of Dark Intent. Something, somewhere, has to break. This time, it was Dark Intent.
Filed under: Warlock, (Warlock) Blood Pact






Reader Comments (Page 1 of 2)
Maccabeus May 2nd 2011 3:17PM
Well, we still get a sweet 3% haste and 9% increased DoT damage, so I'm really not complaining.
jsbeam May 2nd 2011 3:19PM
My question is with the change to fire mages can they even trigger Dark Intent anymore? Wasn't there ability to crit with Dots taken away to help combat ignite munching?
Kurash May 2nd 2011 3:27PM
As far as I know, the only thing that changed about mage DoTs is that they now won't trigger Ignite. The DoTs can certainly still crit. (Unless I misread something in the patch notes.)
Aritra May 2nd 2011 3:36PM
Dots can still crit, they just don't proc ignite anymore when they do.
Vox May 2nd 2011 3:27PM
The patch isn't even a week old yet. No worries - your comments are plenty timely.
Thanks for all you do!
Kurash May 2nd 2011 3:26PM
Well-written and interesting article as usual, Tyler. Both how you addressed the top theoretical dps of specs, and your analysis of the DI nerf seem spot-on to me. :)
damoronsonline May 2nd 2011 3:36PM
As happy as I am that I get to play affliction again I can't help but notice that the aoe buffs just weren't enough. I find it troublesome that I can do more dps focusing one or two targets than I do spamming aoe on 10+ mob packs.
Tyllis May 2nd 2011 3:43PM
Haste is hardly worthless for Fire Mages. In fact, it's better than both Crit and Mastery since our OOM issues were fixed in 4.0.6. Of course, that's not to say that Haste isn't more important to SPriest and Balance Druids.
REDMJOEL May 2nd 2011 3:45PM
In 5-mans, I usually DI the healer (except pallies who can't hot), not dps. Is this wrong?
Darky May 2nd 2011 3:51PM
Don't bother DI-ing disc priests, we get very low benefit from it, also I don't think resto druids get much from haste either.
Revynn May 2nd 2011 4:05PM
You just have to gauge your group. If the healer's struggling to keep up because people are standing in fire, give it to them (unless it's a H-Pally or Disc Priest). However, if your tank is insanely overgeared and the DPS is competent at avoiding damage, then the healer will be doing less healing and, therefore, spend less time stacking DI for you.
It's a judgement call, and generally it won't matter all that much in 5's as long as you have it on -someone-.
Resto druids are a good target for DI as Haste is their best secondary stat and the large majority of their healing is done through HoT's. However, most healers I talk to would prefer you just end the fight sooner and stop standing in stuff.
mazca13 May 2nd 2011 4:48PM
Resto druids are great Dark Intent targets in 5 man - they benefit from the haste, and they provide a lot of crit ticks to give the warlock the buff. Given the benefit of Dark Intent to the non-warlock target has been massively nerfed, the priority is now more on picking a target that gives YOU a good proc rate, and I often find resto druids are the very best target from that point of view in actual combat - as you can often start off a fight with a full stack of procs thanks to healing between fights.
poggg May 2nd 2011 8:04PM
Now that the dungeon finder is set up to put you with DPS of other armor classes where possible, the healer is usually the ONLY viable DI target, it seems like.
Revynn May 2nd 2011 3:59PM
- "Your performance at this point will honestly be better using the spec that you are more apt at, the one that you prefer, than you would to just jump up onto the affliction bandwagon, as it were."
Pretty much, this. 3 of the 5 main spec warlocks in my guild (not including me) switched to Affliction the day 4.1 went live. I'm still wrecking them all on the meters as Destro. They may get me on some trash pulls when I'm not bothering with ISF or BoD or just standing in the corner digging through atlasloot, but on real fights I've yet to be outpaced by another warlock that switched to Affliction just because it's "the top spec now".
Not that I have a problem with Affliction, I'm just having a lot of fun with Destro and have gotten really comfortable with it. I'll switch eventually, the self healing from a DL spec is really appealing on some of the harder fights in the tier, but it'll probably take a couple days to get back into a groove and I'm not going to do that while we're trying to down new bosses.
mazca13 May 2nd 2011 4:57PM
Definitely agree here, although with opposite experience. When Destro was the general best-simming spec I tried it, but generally found that I wasn't quite as effective in raids as I was with Affliction. I had played Affliction for so long that a huge part of my rotation with it (including switching on-the-fly between Shadow Bolt and Drain Life fillers based on fight situation) had become completely automatic, and hence I could use nearly all of my conscious thinking to become aware of the fight progress and the other players. While I practiced with Destruction enough to get fairly competent with the rotation, I would have had to persevere a lot longer to get it to the same "instinctive" level as I was with the Affliction playstyle. I could generally match my Affliction DPS on average, but I found myself standing in fire rather more often and generally not being quite as useful in calling things out. I went back to Affliction after a few weeks.
Obviously for me it's lovely that Affliction is the "best" spec now, but I can certainly understand and support other warlocks who find Destruction (or indeed Demo) still works better for their play-style and brain function.
Spellotape May 2nd 2011 9:20PM
That's really interesting and just goes to show it's the player and the way they treat the spec. I've always been Affliction and my raid has five warlocks in it (sometimes six ...) - myself and the other two Affliction warlocks have been better than the Destruction locks this entire tier of content and we still are.
Necromann May 2nd 2011 4:56PM
My question is are warlocks balanced around having DI up?
paraka321 May 2nd 2011 6:00PM
I don't have any solid proof, but I would assume so. It's a personal buff. Even if the person you throw it on dies, you keep the haste portion of the buff.
It's like asking if we are balanced around Fel Armor, or if the ret paladin is balanced around Inquisition.
albanesp May 4th 2011 1:08PM
Yes...and no.
Yes, because we need the extra 3% haste to get to 30% haste in BiS 359 gear (without doing foolish things like gemming for haste over int.
No, because we still do great damage without the 3% haste buff.
twitter.comvelidra May 2nd 2011 6:15PM
I have to disagree with your thoughts about the DI priority (while it was still good), but we should see less emphasis on dot heavy classes being the best classes for it ever, and classes that like haste getting more out of it.
Regarding how you balance DI... how do you balance any buff? Other specs bring equal amounts of raid DPS, but to everyone just not one person. The way I have come to think of DI is simply as the DPS you give the other person is YOUR DPS, not theirs. When they say "WOHOO DI MAKES ME TOP METERS" really, its making you top the meters. Under this thinking you can say warlocks are balanced around having DI on someone else, not the other classes.
And lastly, yes, I have to agree with you regarding specs somewhat. The best spec did, and still does, come down to which encounter your looking at. Affliction will be better on more than just the pure niche encounters now (execute phase DPS race encounters), but it still won't be the best spec everywhere (ala previous expansions)