It won't go down and that's sort of the problem. On my server the lowest I've gotten truegold for is 650 which is already a massive loss for the seller. Multiply this by eight and then add in the chaos orbs which if you win every single roll will take a minimum of 2.5 hours to get, and the miscellaneous cost of the other items and thirty some days of grinding to get the recipe. Your essentially looking at close to ten k if people sell truegold at a loss.

These crafted items are simply too expensive and time consuming for their value even as it is and a nerf will make it worse.

over 10k? Dude I just sold on for 19k on my Server and plan on making another once I get orbs. For a weapon (not armor sir, a Weapon...) that's better than normal mode T11, costs 8 True Gold (alone that is 6.4k on my server), 5 Orbs (which can only be earned), two gems (okay these are a joke on price =P) and 4 x Hardened Elementium (cost about 720 Gold) you have an item that costs $7,120 gold to craft, not counting orbs going rate... yeah this will NEVER be "under 10k" unless someone wants to waste ALOT of time on the AH.

Going rate should start at 14k (especially considering how few people even have the pattern this stage of the game) and go up from there - like I said I just sold one for 19k and I didn't even need to re-list it - demand is there, and as long as it is market price is going to be high. 20K isn't a lot for a tier 11.5 two hander, I've seen one handed weapons of i356 going for around 10k (Soul Blade) - so it's not an outrageous price.