Gold Capped: Legally buy gold with the Guardian Cub

If you buy a Guardian Cub with real money, you can sell it for in-game gold, effectively purchasing gold. If you're one of the millions of WoW players who are constantly cash-strapped in game, you now have the option of leaving the whole gold making process to others; simply buy a $10 pet that can be sold for gold on the AH. BOE gear, mounts, flying training, and alts are all expensive, and making money (playing the AH, doing dailies, selling valor point BOE gear, etc.) isn't the most fun use of some peoples' time. This change will be a welcome one for those who would rather spend the time needed to make $10 at their day job than hours grinding gold. Additionally, pet collectors who also play the gold making game will be able to get a pet from the pet store without having to lay out real money for it.
So how much will these pets cost, anyway? The answer will vary from realm to realm, but one thing is certain: The demand for the pets will spike out of the door, then fall off a cliff as soon as enough people have one. Also, repeat business isn't any more likely than for other Blizzard Store items -- I almost never see people sporting their Lil' K.T or sparkle ponies these days, and I imagine that few people still pay real money for them. As the demand drops off, these will sell for less and less gold. The supply is directly related to the number of people buying them from the store for resale on the AH. This means that the more gold the cubs are worth, the more supply there will be. Eventually, as demand peters out, people will be less likely to buy them for resale.
In short, if you want to buy gold without breaking the terms of service, get it while the getting is good. The gold per pet will go nowhere but down, unless Blizzard likes this system so much that it introduces more items like this.
Cash in, cash out?
You can use this system to cash into WoW and buy some gold, but you cannot use it to cash out and sell gold. You can't sell a pet for real money any more than you can any other in-game item or currency without trusting a stranger. Forgetting a second about those pesky terms of service, unless you can open a trade window and not hit the button until you're satisfied you're going to get what's being promised, any transfer involving in-game and out-of-game valuables is fraught with risk. Whichever party is going first has the opportunity to simply walk away without paying. Trade windows only work on in-game goods, and that means that while you can move money into WoW through the pet store, you can't move it back out unless you trust the person you're dealing with.
And then, of course, there's the terms of service, which specifically prohibit selling virtual goods for real money. That alone should be enough to deter anyone who has invested any serious amount of time into their account from risking it all on a couple of illicit dollars.
This "cash in only" design is common in the world of MMO games. The few that allow cashing out (like Second Life) risk coming under the scrutiny of the tax man. Plus, the ability to "cash out" would do nothing but cost Blizzard money.
First sanctioned gold buying?
Interestingly, this is not the first sanctioned gold buying system. It's the first accessible system billed as a method of buying gold legitimately; however, even before the tradable cub becomes available at the pet store, you can go out right now spend $500ish on an unscratched sparkle tiger card on eBay that will sell for between 200k and 400k gold. This is fully sanctioned by Blizzard, since you're buying something physical for real money and selling something virtual for gold. I'm sure there are a ton of other trading card items you could find buyers for in game, possibly for less than $500. This functions exactly the same way as the new cub, except that it's in much larger denominations. Also, Blizzard only unlocked the ability to trade TCG loot before using it fairly recently.
In addition to buying in via the TCG, some people have been known to do a form of arbitrage where they move characters across realms instead of goods across the neutral AH. They pay real money for a ticket each way but bring with them goods that are more expensive on their destination. Moving from high-population and PVE-progressed realms to medium- or low-population realms with low progression is usually the target that allows the greatest gold profit per dollar.
The downside to this is that while it's a way to leverage the price of a pair of realm transfers into some serious wealth, it requires you to be rich enough in game to be able to afford a bunch of BOEs. If you're wealthy enough to afford to load up a character with enough stock to make a decent profit, you could skip the arbitrage and just keep making money the way you did to get here.
Exchange rate
Illicit gold sellers compete with each other and will now be forced to compete with Blizzard itself. A quick Google search (not for the faint of heart -- it almost landed me a drive-by virus) shows that if you're willing to buy gold stolen from hacked accounts or farmed by bots, $10 will get you about 5000g. This is right in line with the other competition Blizzard is surely aware of, TCG cards from eBay. For this new pet store cub to be an effective competitor, it has to sell for more than 5000g. It may at first, but there will come a time when most people who want one have it already and the price drops below the point where it's worth doing instead of the gold sellers.

Q: What about future Pet Store pets?
It's too early to say how we'll handle future Pet Store pets. We made this change in response to feedback from players looking for alternate ways to get the Pet Store pets, and we're always looking into other opportunities for improvement. We're interested in hearing what players think of the Guardian Cub when it launches, and we hope you'll have fun with this new flying friend.
It's too early to say how we'll handle future Pet Store pets. We made this change in response to feedback from players looking for alternate ways to get the Pet Store pets, and we're always looking into other opportunities for improvement. We're interested in hearing what players think of the Guardian Cub when it launches, and we hope you'll have fun with this new flying friend.
I'm hoping that Blizzard sees this the way I do and doesn't bother waiting to see whether players have positive feedback. Making pet store items available for in-game currency may cost Blizzard in terms of pet store sales numbers, but it hurts the gold sellers even more. If Blizzard can ensure that there's a new pet every few months the same way we have now that can be purchased for real money and sold for gold, they'll make hacking, botting, and cheating unprofitable. Short of banning buyers, that's all that can be done. This is an important step for the game because the activities of gold farmers are inflationary, and all the cub (and TCG loot) does is move gold from one player's pocket to another's.
Profit
If you're a WoW millionaire already and want to capitalize on the large-sounding shift in the market this heralds, here's my advice: Don't. You can't make money off predicting a price drop in WoW unless you can think of some way to short-sell cubs. You can't safely or legally profit in real life from your imaginary wealth, and you probably don't need even more gold, especially not if it costs 10 real dollars.
If, however, the price for the pets ever bottoms out, then maybe buy a few for resale and hope you picked the absolute bottom price. If you hold onto it long enough, you may be able to resell it for a profit. Don't do this unless it's gone so far below the illicit exchange rate that it's not even close to worth buying a cub for gold, though.
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Reader Comments (Page 2 of 7)
RetPallyJil Oct 11th 2011 5:18PM
BOOOOOOO Blizzard
jfofla Oct 11th 2011 5:44PM
RPJ,
I like you, I do.
But I feel this is a Masterstroke by Blizzard in the war against unscrupulous Gold Sellers.
So respectfully, I must say, YAY BLIZZARD!
RetPallyJil Oct 11th 2011 6:33PM
I personally don't care about gold sellers. I care that a fundamental principle of the game is being violated by putting items up for real-world sale that directly influence in-game activity.
Thus, Boo Blizzard!
However, you are fully entitled to your opinion! This is America, after all!
Joseph Smith Oct 11th 2011 7:55PM
Wait, what?
So rather than the pet being only available on the pet store, and you could only buy it with real money, they're giving an option that will allow it to be bought in game with gold too. While I'm sure the gold price will be high to begin with, well, you can guaruntee that eventually the gold price WILL go down. The only downside on this is for people that sell gold directly for money, and THEY are the only ones that should be saying 'Boo'.
adamjgp Oct 12th 2011 1:55PM
The gold sellers have already violated this fundamental principal. Blizzard has acknowledged that they don't want gold sellers and were looking for ways to combat the black market.
I view this as a test run to combat gold sellers. The goal is to remove a lot of the account hacks and scams that revolve around WoW. Will this fix it? I don't know, but I'm happy that they're trying.
IMO you shouldn't be mad at Blizzard for implementing the Cubs for Cash. The anger should be directed towards the gold sellers.
facepalmer2 Oct 11th 2011 5:19PM
I'm not purchasing one from the AH any time soon until it gets to a price point below 5k gold which should be a while.
rapsam2003 Oct 11th 2011 6:14PM
Haha, you don't quite get how this is gonna work. It'll drop below 5k probably within the first day on high population servers.
Caz Oct 11th 2011 5:20PM
5000 gold for a ten dollar pet? I think anyone hoping to make that much gold is dreaming. 400-600 gold is more realistic. I know everyone values their time differently, but if you look at just dailies, for example, as a way to earn gold - it would take about 12 days to earn that $10 pet by paying 5000 gold (average of 16 gold per quest x 25 dailies per day = 400 gold; 5000 gold / 400 gold = 12.5 days)
Then again, this is World of Warcraft and instant gratifictaion seems to outweigh common sense.
terph Oct 11th 2011 5:27PM
I bet they'll go cheap too. I'm expecting prices to drop like a rock on my server. For a low-medium pop server, it's always been a buyer's market and I know people will flood the market. I was going to just get it for my own pet collection, but it's probably more economical just to wait for one to sell for nothing on the AH.
Mir Oct 11th 2011 6:43PM
Dailies are your basis for determining how much gold/hr you can make? Really? Do you ever read this particular column? Personally, I don't do anything in game (when the goal is explicitly to generate gold) that nets me less than ~5K/hr.
Spellotape Oct 11th 2011 7:36PM
I think Basil's 5k price is realistic as an opener before the market is flooded - 400-600g is not because no person, no matter how gold-strapped, could seriously say that amount of gold is worth $10.
Caz Oct 11th 2011 7:54PM
Of course there are ways besides dailies to make gold, but I'd wager the ratio of players who spend their online time playing the auction house to those who, well, quest, raid and 'adventure' is quite low in comparison. As a player sitting on 5 figures, I'd never throw 5K away on a ten dollar pet when I could spend 3 minutes and the price of two beers at the bar on the same thing.
I'm sure there will be a few that sell for high amounts, but I seriously doubt this will be a cash cow in-game.
omedon666 Oct 11th 2011 5:21PM
Thank you, Basil, for hosing down the inferno of panic with some ice cold common sense.
Basil Berntsen Oct 11th 2011 5:44PM
Interestingly, that's my DJ name.
omedon666 Oct 11th 2011 5:48PM
And that's the bottom line (get it? Money!), 'cuz "ice cold" said so!
Basil Berntsen Oct 11th 2011 5:58PM
Not surprisingly, I'm much better known for ranting about imaginary economies than I am for my block rocking beats, but my first love will always be spinning.
jimforbes40 Oct 11th 2011 7:43PM
Wow, Basil rocks the decks, who would've guessed!
mem0ryburn Oct 11th 2011 5:21PM
WoW Insider, dare I say You (and every other WoW site reporting this angle) are sensationalizing the gold selling bit?
I'm sick of this non-issue already.
mem0ryburn Oct 11th 2011 5:22PM
WHO'S COMIN WITH ME
VioletArrows Oct 11th 2011 5:33PM
For a lot of us it may be a non issue (honestly I kind of want "Daddy Disco Lion" to go the same way >_> ), but considering all the big game feeds are reporting on it and so many forums are on fire about this, a lot of people do care. They may not know *why* they care, or how exactly it affects them, but that's most issues. :p