Gold Capped: Why Mysterious Fortune Cards will always be stupidly profitable

Last week on Gold Capped, I discussed how to make money playing the glyph market. It's hands down the most popular way that scribes try to make money. Problem is, it's probably the hardest route to riches I know. Glyphs tend to fester on the Auction House, and most go unsold. And yet despite this, no single profession has made me more money over my WoW lifetime than inscription has.
Confused? Don't be -- I'm about the blow the lid clear off the most profitable aspect of inscription: Mysterious Fortune Cards. Yes, seriously. They're still making people boatloads of money.
My first-ever article covering the Auction House dealt with my quest to reach the Cataclysm-era gold cap of 999,999 gold. I utilized a large number of professions to reach the finish line, but nothing proved a better or more reliable seller than the stuff my scribe was making. But I wasn't making glyphs. I was making Darkmoon Cards and Mysterious Fortune Cards (MFCs).
I abandoned those markets a while back -- not because they stopped being profitable, but because I got tired of milling thousands of herbs and AFK crafting. Fast forward to this past week, when I revisited my poor neglected scribe. He still had a few MFCs sitting around in his inventory, so I crafted a few more and listed them on the AH.
I was pretty surprised at what I saw -- the Mysterious Fortune Card market is still ridiculously profitable. And better yet, competition for the market seems to be weaker than ever. Don't believe me? Let's look at the specifics.
Mysterious Fortune Card market at a glance
I try to be pretty cautious with blanket statements around here. After all, what sells well on one server might not sell well on another. And if competition is unusually heavy on a given server, trying to break into a new market can be a gold-losing proposition. So before I sat down to write this column, I did my research.
I stopped by my new favorite site (and The Undermine Journal competitor) AHSpy.com to take a quick look at the MFC market across every single US and EU server. Here's what I learned:
- The average server (as of Nov. 20) has about 700 MFCs available; the median server has only 271.
- The average server (as of Nov. 20) prices an MFC at about 12 gold Alliance, or 14 gold Horde.
What contributes to the always-present demand? Well, it's simple: Mysterious Fortune Cards represent the easiest and most affordable route to the Cataclysm-era Well Fed buff. That's because there's no such thing as a Deepsea Sagefish pool, the fish required for the Severed Sagefish Head +90 intellect buff. You can only fish them up at random. It's almost always going to be quicker, easier, and often cheaper to craft MFCs into Fortune Cookies, which offer the same great +90 intellect buff ... or any other top-level buff you could possibly desire. They're magic.
And yes, Mysterious Fortune Cards still hold up well as WoW's answer to a lottery ticket. Each one you turn over (or obtain via eating a Fortune Cookie) has a chance to give you a Fortune Card worth 5,000 gold, a Fortune Card worth 1,000 gold, or more commonly, lesser amounts down to 10 silver. Wowhead doesn't have data on a player's expected return from just flipping over cards and vendoring the result, but anecdotally, they're worth about 2.5 or 3 gold per flip on average. That fact alone helps prop up their value.
And then there's the elephant in the room: Mysterious Fortune Cards can be somewhat tedious to make. You have to put in a lot of effort to craft the couple of thousand cards that buyers can consume in a single day. As a result, it's hard for one person to corner this market unless they have a lot of time on their hands.
High demand and weak supply -- it doesn't take a genius to smell profits in that mix. There will always be a high demand for these cards right up through the launch of Mists of Pandaria because they're a rare nexus between usefulness and fun. And judging from the data above, the market is woefully (and chronically) underserved. But will they always be profitable? Let's do the math.
Is the MFC market right for you?
If you're going to be making Mysterious Fortune Cards, you're going to need a lot of Blackfallow Ink. And if you need a lot of Blackfallow Ink, you're likely going to need to be buying (or picking) a lot of herbs.
Cinderbloom and Whiptail are almost universally the cheapest of the Cataclysm-era herbs. And as such, they're the best herbs to go buying for the purposes of milling. Again, Wowhead doesn't offer any exacting data with regard to how many Ashen Pigments (and thus, Blackfallow Inks) you get from each stack on average, but anecdotally, we know this:
- One Cinderbloom mills to ~0.25 Blackfallow Ink and ~0.025 Inferno Ink.
- One Whiptail mills to ~0.3 Blackfallow Ink and ~0.05 Inferno Ink.
You'll want to do the math with your own server's specific herb prices. Just multiply the price of Cinderbloom by four or the price of Whiptail by 3.33. If the result of either is a few gold less than you server's current market price for Mysterious Fortune Cards, you've found a lucrative market, my friend.
Selling the cards
Obviously, the best way to sell the cards you make is going to be on the Auction House. Mysterious Fortune Cards are desirable enough to sell on their own -- people know what they are, and they're regularly prowling the AH trying to find them.
If you want to boost sales a little bit, barking in trade might dredge up a few extra sales. This is especially true on the weekends, when there are more casual players online who are unfamiliar with the product (and the possibility of a 5,000 gold score). Be careful not to go overboard, though. Advertising too heavily can be counterproductive -- it can irritate possible buyers and clue others in that you found a lucrative market. And if your cards are selling for 15 gold each ... why can't they list a few thousand units for 14.50 gold and undercut you?
Mysterious Fortune Cards tend to sell best when you list them in varying large quantities. Stacks of one card almost never sell, even if they're the cheapest auction listed. Stacks of 20 seem to be the "sweet spot" where sales are strongest. Stacks of 50 sell well, too, and you'd probably be surprised at how many people out there are willing to buy stacks of 200. Listing in different but useful quantities (10, 20, 50, 100, 200) is a great way to stand out from other sellers.
Dealing with your "waste"
Back in the day, I never really set out to make Mysterious Fortune Cards. I was trying to make Darkmoon Cards, and MFCs were my waste product -- the most efficient and lucrative way for unloading my Blackfallow Inks. My, how the tables have turned.
So what do you do with all these Inferno Inks you craft? The easy answer is to sell them on the Auction House. They're still needed to level inscription to 525. Right now, they're worth about 22 gold each on average. That's a pretty nice bonus: You get 2 or 3 gold worth of Inferno Ink for each MFC you craft.
Or, alternatively, you could put in the extra work and do what I used to do -- make Darkmoon Decks. Prices for the trinkets have held up remarkably well, at least so far. The DMC: Tsunami trinket can still fetch as much as 10,000 gold; DMC: Volcano can fetch 7,500. Prices are sure to go down in patch 4.3, but for those who prefer to stay out of raids, they'll continue to hold solid value.
No matter what you do with those Inferno Inks, though, it's hard to go wrong. After all, if you're already making a profit on Mysterious Fortune Cards, it's just found money.
Filed under: Economy, Gold Capped






Reader Comments (Page 1 of 2)
Pantro Nov 21st 2011 2:28PM
Time to test it right away!
Pantro Nov 21st 2011 2:34PM
With one look at the price of the fortune cookies I give up >.< They're only worth 6-8g a piece! While the cards themselves are 14g which are still low IMO
djsuursoo Nov 21st 2011 2:55PM
give it time. you've got someone selling at-cost or someone who farms all their own materials and can afford to undercut.
wait a few days for the stock to clear out then try again.
or level cooking. it IS pilgrim festival...
Puntable Nov 21st 2011 4:38PM
They have never been profitable on my server. the Herbs always sell for more than the cards or cookies.
Katherine Nov 21st 2011 5:07PM
Please, everyone, make cookies. I'm too lazy to fish or buy herbs for my food buff, I just want to buy the finished product. Though I'll add the cards to my shopping list, I do know a chef.
Zachary Ziessler Nov 21st 2011 2:36PM
If you scrolled down before fully reading this article, go back and read it. Everything was so clear, concise, easy to follow, and very informational. Definitely excited to apply the same formulas and ideas to other areas of the market. I'm curious if my realm's MFC market will be affected by this article.
Fox Van Allen Nov 21st 2011 2:52PM
The advice will likely be subject to the "WoW Insider effect." Talking about a market here usually ruins it for a few days as too many people start meddling around in it. Things usually go back to normal in a few days/weeks or so after most casual folks "forget" about what they read here.
It's a pretty weird phenomenon. I feel like an inside trader whenever I list an auction.
matt Nov 21st 2011 3:07PM
no kidding Fox, I haven't been logging on much due to my end of patch blues and skyrim, but now I have to log on and sell TONS of herbs at inflated prices to all of your readers. And then I will have to log on tomorrow and buy TONS of cards at deflated prices so that I can hold them for 2 weeks and sell them for a tidy profit AND save the milling time.
in other words I heart Gold Capped!
Chance Nov 21st 2011 5:38PM
Lol Fox. Every time I read a gold capped article that pertains to one of my professions I tend to have to wait 2 weeks to a month to use the info. I've actually been selling the MFCs for quite some time now, ever since you posted your reaching the gold cap article and mentioned how profitable they actually were. It was a quick mention and nobody on my server seemed to pick up on it, but I guarantee that after this article the market will be flooded for the next few days. Good thing I don't plan on logging on for a couple of weeks anyway. Got too much to do in Skyrim ;).
Btw I love your articles, very well written and easy to comprehend, even for simpletons like myself. Keep em coming.
Pyromelter Nov 21st 2011 5:55PM
Fox, that effect has to be server-to-server based. I have never noticed anything like that on my server... although I believe that the oldest servers with large populations are probably much more immune to these types of swings (my server is an original vanilla server with a mature economy).
Edymnion Nov 21st 2011 2:38PM
I would recommending sticking to stacks evenly divisible by 20. Obviously anyone buying these things in bulk is going to be doing so in order to make the cookies. Since the cookies stack in 20's, thats the increment most people will want to buy the cards in.
I'd say make 80-90% of your stacks at 20, and then maybe 10-20% at stacks of 5 for the people that want a few cookies but don't want to pay for an entire stack.
Shinae Nov 21st 2011 2:39PM
Yeah, I just did this a few days ago, too. On a whim, I noticed that there weren't any MFCs on my AH, and I AFK-crafted a bunch with my stockpile of inks. They all sold by the next day for 13g each.
I also sold a few Adventurer's Journals (which also only take one blackfallow ink to craft with parchments) for 50g each, but the market can get saturated for those fairly quickly, as many players still don't know about them, and they can only be used from level 75 through 84.
sharklarson Nov 21st 2011 2:48PM
The cookies to me are like Lotto/Scratch tickets. I know I'm wasting my gold..... BUT MAYBE THE NEXT ONE WILL..... nope, okay I'll just buy one more, hopefully THIS one will be a winn...... nope, okay just one more......
paulmewis Nov 21st 2011 2:47PM
Well the price of the cards is wildly different realm to realm, but the returns stay relatively the same for each flip.
http://wowfortunes.blogspot.com/ is a blog (sadly he's not updated for 8 months) with 2.4k flips tallied. His average return per card was 2G50S. He also notes getting a 1k card put his average return up by 40s alone.
xvkarbear Nov 21st 2011 2:58PM
I recently switched to making MFC instead of glyphs.
Not having quite the success you are, but that's mostly because of my competition. I think I'm going to start rotating alts to sell the cards, because I'm almost instantly undercut. Someone has my bankalt on their friend's list I suspect.
It was crazy, though. Someone on my server put up over 180 stacks of whiptail for 70s/herb. It took me a good three hours to turn all of that into inks, but it'll be a nice payday!
Andrew Nov 21st 2011 3:28PM
Haha, I just had that happen on my JC, someone posted about 250 stacks of obsidium at 3G/stack. I haven't seen prices that low in months, and it took 4 hours to prospect it all (keybound to the scrollwheel of my wireless mouse while I did chores).
Donhorn Nov 21st 2011 3:03PM
I remember right after hitting 80 on my Priest I grinded out that last little bit of Inscription until I could make MFCs. I had a nice system worked out, put up something on Netflix and fly up and down the river in Uldum on my Druid picking Whiptail till my bags were full, then send them over to my Priest to make cards and sell them. I was finally able to save up enough for that Traveler's Tundra Mammoth I always wanted mostly from MFCs, it also helped that I'd save a few for the cookies for myself and actually got the 5k card. Unfortunately I haven't been keeping up with it due to time, but as long as you have the ability to get lots of herbs you can churn out quite a few cards for some quick cash. Also the use of trade actually works well for something like this as the article says. I recommend coming up with something witty to catch people's attention.
/2 |cffffffff|Hitem:60838:0:0:0:0:0:0:1743873152:85:0|h[Mysterious Fortune Card]|h|r #g each on the AH! See your fortune! Win big!
This was the macro I used to use for example, sometimes I'd get a few comments on it, almost always I'd see my chat panel explode with "A buyer has been found..." messages.
These cards are a lot of fun to work with, I'll be sad when they lose some of their punch in MoP. I hope Blizz works out some way to keep them useful, that or make an upgraded version with a new cookie like how they make upgraded Darkmoon Cards. They have something really good here.
phfantunes Nov 21st 2011 3:31PM
Too bad it's not profitable in my server. According to the Undermine Journal in my realm, crafting mats cost 6.25 and the mean price is 6.64...with 1.5k MFC currently listed in the AH.
furry Nov 21st 2011 3:35PM
"and clue others in that you found a lucrative market"
Yeah, it would be worse than a post about this market on one of the most popular WoW sites on the interwebs!
:P
Altolycus Nov 21st 2011 3:41PM
"Wowhead doesn't have data on a player's expected return from just flipping over cards and vendoring the result"
I had a guest post on my blog if you are wondering about stats:
http://altosgoldishadvise.blogspot.com/2011/05/flipping-your-own-mysterious-fortune.html